J. Vrba vs Bryce Nakashima — M15 Champaign Final
M15 Champaign · ITF · Final
CZEQJ. Vrba
#1463ATP
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 30 August 2026 ·
hard
Vrba J.2-6 6-7
Nakashima B.
Vrba J.
260
Nakashima B.
672
Bryce Nakashima won the M15 Champaign final, defeating J. Vrba 6-2, 7-6. Nakashima hit 11 aces and did not commit a double fault, while Vrba had 6 aces and 6 double faults. Nakashima converted 67% of break points and had 4 service breaks to Vrba's 2.
Key context
- Match story: Bryce Nakashima closed it out in two sets, 6–2 7–6.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonVrba J.Nakashima B.
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
30%
Break points saved·Dominant
70%
0%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.3
0.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
2.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTCVrba J.42%
Nakashima B.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Nakashima B. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchVrba J.
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited- Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
2.21 of last 5 on hard
0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
5.5Won 59% in USA (78)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 51%