Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet — US Open Round of 128
AUSWC
Sweeny D.
Dane Sweeny faces Corentin Moutet in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Corentin Moutet holds the paper edge — ranked #62, defending last year's round of 128, a roughly 280-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Moutet C. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: Corentin Moutet has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 69 vs Dane Sweeny's 45).
- Surface form: Dane Sweeny 0 of 4, Corentin Moutet 1 of 4 on hard recently — Corentin Moutet the sharper of late.
- Stage: Corentin Moutet defends last year's round of 128.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.