Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Gael MonfilsUS Open Round of 128

US Open · ATP · Round of 128
#61ATP
1740ELO
1520Hard ELO
$407kYTD
$665kCAREER
22 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLLLWW
Sets
Sunday, 30 August 2026 ·
hard
#307ATP
1803ELO
1784Hard ELO
39 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLLLWLWL
Vallejo A.
vs
Monfils G.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo faces Gael Monfils in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo brings the better recent hard form (3 of 6).

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Vallejo A.40%
Monfils G.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Monfils G. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
2 common opponents · Vallejo A. 2–0 · Monfils G. 0–2 · small sample
Vallejo A. better · different surfaces (Clay × Hard)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.7Hard Elo 1520
Surface ELO
8.3+264 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1740
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1803
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.05 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.23 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

33 vs 10 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
44%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.5
8.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Vallejo A.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Monfils G.

Monfils G.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Vallejo A.

Serve advantage — Vallejo A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
53
86
Break points saved·Dominant
71
96
Break points won·Clear edge
65
79
Deciding sets·Even
85
89
Tiebreaks·Dominant
0
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
85
100

Vallejo A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 27 games (7d) · Monfils G.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 79%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw