Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng — US Open Round of 128
USAWC
Marozsan F.
Fabian Marozsan faces Michael Zheng in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Fabian Marozsan is the paper favourite — ranked #63, defending last year's round of 128, a roughly 80-point hard Elo advantage — but Michael Zheng has won their only previous meeting. Michael Zheng brings the better recent hard form (4 of 6).
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Fabian Marozsan comes in with 1 days of rest and 76 games in 14d, vs Michael Zheng's 11 and 35.
- Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Fabian Marozsan grades 31 on serve, Michael Zheng 53 on return.
- Head-to-head: Michael Zheng leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Cincinnati 2026.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadMarozsan F.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 76 games (7d) · Zheng M.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati | R128 | hard | Michael Zheng | 6-3 1-6 6-7 |