Darja Vidmanova vs Jessica Bouzas ManeiroUS Open Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Round of 128
#90WTA
1675ELO
1665Hard ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWLLWWW
Sets
Sunday, 30 August 2026 ·
hard
#105WTA
1721ELO
1664Hard ELO
$391kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLWLLLW
Vidmanova D.
vs
Bouzas Maneiro J.

Darja Vidmanova faces Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Darja Vidmanova holds the paper edge — ranked #90.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Vidmanova D.53%
Bouzas Maneiro J.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
3 common opponents · Vidmanova D. 1–2 · Bouzas Maneiro J. 3–1 · small sample
Both lost · same surface, 4 days apart
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0+2 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Hard Elo 1664
4.4Overall Elo 1674
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1721
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.77 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.04 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

48 vs 34 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
45%
Service points won·Even
58%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
1.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (48 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Vidmanova D.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Bouzas Maneiro J.

Bouzas Maneiro J.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Vidmanova D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
50
79

Vidmanova D.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 125 games (7d) · Bouzas Maneiro J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 79%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw