Kamil Majchrzak vs Hamad MedjedovicUS Open Round of 128

US Open · ATP · Round of 128
#72ATP
1801ELO
1739Hard ELO
$617kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
30 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLWLWLWW
Sets
Sunday, 30 August 2026 ·
hard
#78ATP
1841ELO
1744Hard ELO
$736kYTD
$3.0MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLWLWLWW
Majchrzak K.
vs
Medjedovic H.

Kamil Majchrzak faces Hamad Medjedovic in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Hamad Medjedovic holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 128.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Majchrzak K.50%
Medjedovic H.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
7 common opponents · Majchrzak K. 5–4 · Medjedovic H. 3–6
Majchrzak K. better · different surfaces (Grass × Hard)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1739
Surface ELO
5.1+5 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1840
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
3.34 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.44 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

24 vs 24 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
35%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.6
9.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.5
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Majchrzak K.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Medjedovic H.

Medjedovic H.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Majchrzak K.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
17
56
Break points saved·Even
90
94
Break points won·Clear edge
22
6
Deciding sets·Dominant
13
79
Tiebreaks·Dominant
23
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
100

Majchrzak K.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Medjedovic H.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
22°CRain
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 82%

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR128clayHamad Medjedovic6-3 6-3 7-6

Draw