Qinwen Zheng vs Kristina Liutova — US Open Round of 128
CHNQ
Zheng Q.
Qinwen Zheng faces Kristina Liutova in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Qinwen Zheng is the paper favourite — ranked #121, a roughly 240-point hard Elo advantage — but Kristina Liutova arrives in form, winning all 8 of their last hard matches to Qinwen Zheng's 5.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Zheng Q. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Qinwen Zheng handed Elena Pridankina a third-set bagel in a 6–4 3–6 6–0 win.
- Last match: Kristina Liutova handed Martyna Kubka a second-set bagel in a 6–4 6–0 win.
- Win streak: Both arrive in form — Qinwen Zheng on a 3-match run, Kristina Liutova on 19.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadZheng Q.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Liutova K.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 74 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.