Kamilla Rakhimova vs Barbora KrejcikovaUS Open Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Round of 128
#88WTA
1693ELO
1671Hard ELO
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLWWLLW
Sets
Sunday, 30 August 2026 ·
hard
#28WTA
1874ELO
1820Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWWWWWWW
Rakhimova K.
vs
Krejcikova B.

Kamilla Rakhimova faces Barbora Krejcikova in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Barbora Krejcikova holds the paper edge — ranked #28, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's quarter-final.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Rakhimova K.21%
Krejcikova B.79%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Krejcikova B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
4 common opponents · Rakhimova K. 1–5 · Krejcikova B. 2–2 · small sample
Both lost · different surfaces (Clay × Grass)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1671
Surface ELO
6.9+148 Hard Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1693
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1874
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
4.24 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.87 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
7.0Reached the quarters here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

38 vs 30 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
63%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Clear edge
53%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.7
4.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.5
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Rakhimova K.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Krejcikova B.

Krejcikova B.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Rakhimova K.

Serve advantage — Krejcikova B.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
8
88
Break points saved·Dominant
7
83
Break points won·Clear edge
77
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
15
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
2
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
78
98

Rakhimova K.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 59 games (7d) · Krejcikova B.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 79%

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-08-30US OpenR32hardBarbora Krejcikova6-4 6-2

Draw