Sinja Kraus vs Karolina Muchova — US Open Round of 128
CZE7
Kraus S.
Sinja Kraus faces Karolina Muchova in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Karolina Muchova holds the paper edge — ranked #7, defending last year's quarter-final, a roughly 390-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Muchova K. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Serve & return: Karolina Muchova leads on Serve Rating (77), Sinja Kraus on Return Rating (50).
- Under pressure: Karolina Muchova has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 92 vs Sinja Kraus's 56).
- Stage: Karolina Muchova defends last year's quarter-final.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (58 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadKraus S.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.