Lilli Tagger vs Tamara Korpatsch — US Open Round of 128
Tagger L.
Lilli Tagger faces Tamara Korpatsch in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Lilli Tagger holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 2–0, a roughly 90-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Tagger L. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Lilli Tagger 19 games in 14 days, Tamara Korpatsch 19.
- Serve & return: Lilli Tagger leads on Serve Rating (55), Tamara Korpatsch on Return Rating (64).
- Head-to-head: Lilli Tagger leads the head-to-head 2–0, 1–0 on hard. Last met at Jiujiang 2025.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (47 vs 44). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadTagger L.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Korpatsch T.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
2–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | Jiujiang | QF | hard | Lilli Tagger | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-08-08 | W75 Amstetten 1 | QF | clay | Lilli Tagger | 6-2 6-0 |