Anouk Koevermans vs Caty Mcnally — US Open Round of 128
USA
Koevermans A.
Anouk Koevermans faces Caty Mcnally in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Caty Mcnally is the paper favourite — ranked #64, defending last year's round of 64, a roughly 190-point hard Elo advantage — but Anouk Koevermans arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 6 on hard to Caty Mcnally's 3.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Mcnally C. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Anouk Koevermans comes in with 1 days of rest and 66 games in 14d, vs Caty Mcnally's 14 and 19.
- Surface form: Anouk Koevermans 4 of 6, Caty Mcnally 3 of 6 on hard recently — Anouk Koevermans the sharper of late.
- Stage: Caty Mcnally defends last year's round of 64.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadKoevermans A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 66 games (7d) · Mcnally C.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.