Gabriela Andrea Knutson vs Eva Lys — US Open Round of 128
Andrea Knutson G.
Gabriela Andrea Knutson faces Eva Lys in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Eva Lys is the paper favourite — ranked #98, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64 — but Gabriela Andrea Knutson arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 4 on hard to Eva Lys's 1.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Lys E. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Gabriela Andrea Knutson comes in with 2 days of rest and 55 games in 14d, vs Eva Lys's 14 and 25.
- Surface form: Gabriela Andrea Knutson 3 of 4, Eva Lys 1 of 4 on hard recently — Gabriela Andrea Knutson the sharper of late.
- Head-to-head: Eva Lys leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at US Open 2024.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadAndrea Knutson G.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d) · Lys E.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-20 | US Open | Q128 | hard | Eva Lys | 6-2 7-6(4) |