Venus Williams vs Sofia Kenin — US Open Round of 128
Williams V.Venus Williams faces Sofia Kenin in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Sofia Kenin holds the paper edge — ranked #110, defending last year's round of 128, a roughly 40-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Kenin S. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Venus Williams comes in with 15 days of rest and 0 games in 14d, vs Sofia Kenin's 13 and 56.
- Home record: Venus Williams has won 72% of 260 career matches on home soil.
- Surface form: Venus Williams 0 of 4, Sofia Kenin 1 of 4 on hard recently — Sofia Kenin the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadWilliams V.: 15 days rest · Kenin S.: 13 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.