Jesper De Jong vs Francesco Passaro — US Open Round of 128
De Jong J.
Jesper De Jong faces Francesco Passaro in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Jesper De Jong is the paper favourite — ranked #99, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 128 — but Francesco Passaro rides a 3-match win streak.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Jesper De Jong 72 games in 14 days, Francesco Passaro 62.
- Last match: Francesco Passaro dropped just 6 games past Shintaro Mochizuki.
- Head-to-head: Jesper De Jong leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on hard. Last met at Roland Garros 2025.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadDe Jong J.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Passaro F.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 62 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | R128 | clay | Jesper De Jong | 3-6 6-7 6-4 7-6 6-1 |