Maya Joint vs Liudmila Samsonova — US Open Round of 128
AUS
Joint M.
Maya Joint faces Liudmila Samsonova in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Liudmila Samsonova holds the paper edge — ranked #45, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 64. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Samsonova L. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Maya Joint 60 games in 14 days, Liudmila Samsonova 25.
- Under pressure: Maya Joint has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 77 vs Liudmila Samsonova's 54).
- Head-to-head: Liudmila Samsonova leads the head-to-head 2–0, 0–1 on hard. Last met at Toronto 2026.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadJoint M.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 60 games (7d) · Samsonova L.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–2| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Toronto | R32 | hard | Liudmila Samsonova | 5-7 7-6 2-6 |
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | R128 | grass | Liudmila Samsonova | 6-3 6-2 |