Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis — US Open Round of 128
Jodar R.
Rafael Jodar faces Thanasi Kokkinakis in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Rafael Jodar holds the paper edge — ranked #13.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Jodar R. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Rafael Jodar 81 games in 14 days, Thanasi Kokkinakis 0.
- Under pressure: Rafael Jodar has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 86 vs Thanasi Kokkinakis's 62).
- Surface form: Rafael Jodar 2 of 4, Thanasi Kokkinakis 1 of 4 on hard recently — Rafael Jodar the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (45 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadJodar R.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Kokkinakis T.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.