Aoi Ito vs Oksana Selekhmeteva — US Open Round of 128
Ito A.
Aoi Ito faces Oksana Selekhmeteva in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Oksana Selekhmeteva is the paper favourite — ranked #93, defending last year's round of 128, a roughly 90-point hard Elo advantage — but Aoi Ito has won their only previous meeting. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Aoi Ito 0 games in 14 days, Oksana Selekhmeteva 79.
- Head-to-head: Aoi Ito leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Toronto 2026.
- Stage: Oksana Selekhmeteva defends last year's round of 128.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadIto A.: 16 days rest · Selekhmeteva O.: played today · 3 matches, 79 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Toronto | Q32 | hard | Aoi Ito | 0-6 7-6(8) 4-6 |