Sakura Hosogi vs Rinko Matsuda — W75 Tianjin Qualifying Round of 32
W75 Tianjin · ITF · Qualifying Round of 32
1 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 30 August 2026 ·
hard
Hosogi S.6-4 6-7 5-7
Matsuda R.
Hosogi S.
66351
Matsuda R.
47772
Rinko Matsuda defeated Sakura Hosogi 4-6 7-6 7-5 in the W75 Tianjin qualifying round of 32 on hard.
Key context
- Match story: Rinko Matsuda dropped the opening set before beating Sakura Hosogi 4–6 7–6 7–5.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
73%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
46%
50%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
50%
Aces / match·Even
0.8
1.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.3
1.8
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTCHosogi S.66%
Matsuda R.34%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Hosogi S. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
8.0+241 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO2.0Hard Elo 1103
8.2Overall Elo 1358
ELO gap1.8Overall Elo 1100
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
4.85 of last 10 on hard
Surface form7.17 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transitionContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 44%