Lloyd Harris vs Jack Kennedy — US Open Round of 128
US Open · ATP · Round of 128
RSAQ#139ATP
1665ELO
1640Hard ELO
$130kYTD
$4.7MCAREER
29 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWWWWWW
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Sets
Sunday, 30 August 2026 ·
hard
Harris L.vs
Kennedy J.
Lloyd Harris faces Jack Kennedy in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Lloyd Harris holds the paper edge — ranked #139, defending last year's round of 64, a roughly 230-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTCHarris L.87%
Kennedy J.13%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Harris L. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Surface form: Lloyd Harris 5 of 6, Jack Kennedy 3 of 6 on hard recently — Lloyd Harris the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Lloyd Harris carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
- Stage: Lloyd Harris defends last year's round of 64.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
7.9+230 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO2.1Hard Elo 1410
6.1Overall Elo 1665
ELO gap3.9Overall Elo 1581
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
8.99 of last 10 on hard
Surface form7.03-match win streak
Win streak0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set countContext
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
19 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
67%
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1st serve points won·
73%
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2nd serve points won·
51%
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Service points won·
66%
—
Return points won·
38%
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Break points saved·
69%
—
Aces / match·
7.7
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Double faults / match·
1.2
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Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·
46
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Harris L.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 99 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 81%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.