Viktorija Golubic vs Diane ParryUS Open Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Round of 128
#55WTA
1775ELO
1720Hard ELO
$652kYTD
$5.5MCAREER
33 yrs · 169 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLLWLW
Sets
Sunday, 30 August 2026 ·
hard
#50WTA
1747ELO
1653Hard ELO
$515kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
23 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWLWWWLL
Golubic V.
vs
Parry D.

Viktorija Golubic faces Diane Parry in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Viktorija Golubic is the paper favourite — leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64, a roughly 70-point hard Elo advantage — but Diane Parry arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 6 on hard to Viktorija Golubic's 3.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Golubic V.53%
Parry D.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
8 common opponents · Golubic V. 5–3 · Parry D. 4–6
Both lost · different surfaces (Hard × Grass) · incl. team event
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.8+67 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1653
5.3Overall Elo 1775
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1747
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.05 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.77 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

41 vs 36 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
45%
Service points won·Even
55%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
47%
41%
Break points saved·Even
55%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.0
3.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Golubic V.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Parry D.

Parry D.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Golubic V.

Serve advantage — Golubic V.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
22
44
Break points saved·Dominant
7
45
Break points won·Dominant
90
21
Deciding sets·Dominant
33
84
Tiebreaks·Dominant
15
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
96
50

Golubic V.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Parry D.: played today · 4 matches, 97 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 79%

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-10-10Cluj NapocaR32hardViktorija Golubic7-5 7-6

Draw