Iva Jovic vs Magdalena Frech — US Open Round of 128
Jovic I.
Iva Jovic faces Magdalena Frech in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Iva Jovic holds the paper edge — ranked #14, defending last year's round of 64, a roughly 150-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Jovic I. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Iva Jovic has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 91 vs 19).
- Stage: Iva Jovic defends last year's round of 64; Magdalena Frech defends last year's round of 32.
- Surface form: Both 2 of 4 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (44 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.