Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley — US Open Round of 128
GBRLL
Landaluce M.
Martin Landaluce faces Jacob Fearnley in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Martin Landaluce is the paper favourite — ranked #65, a roughly 120-point hard Elo advantage — but Jacob Fearnley arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 6 on hard to Martin Landaluce's 2.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Martin Landaluce comes in with 6 days of rest and 86 games in 14d, vs Jacob Fearnley's 2 and 141.
- Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Jacob Fearnley rising, Martin Landaluce cooling.
- Surface form: Martin Landaluce 2 of 6, Jacob Fearnley 4 of 6 on hard recently — Jacob Fearnley the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadLandaluce M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Fearnley J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 85 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.