Damir Dzumhur vs Hubert HurkaczUS Open Round of 128

US Open · ATP · Round of 128
#103ATP
1638ELO
1596Hard ELO
$538kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
34 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWWWWLW
Sets
Sunday, 30 August 2026 ·
hard
#46ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWLWWLWW
Dzumhur D.
vs
Hurkacz H.

Damir Dzumhur faces Hubert Hurkacz in the US Open round of 128 on hard. They have met once, Damir Dzumhur leading 1–0.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Dzumhur D.15%
Hurkacz H.85%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Hurkacz H. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
6 common opponents · Dzumhur D. 2–4 · Hurkacz H. 3–4
Hurkacz H. better · different surfaces (Clay × Hard) · incl. team event · ⚠ lower-tier event
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1596
Surface ELO
6.6+131 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1638
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1798
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
3.23 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.38 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

31 vs 31 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
62%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
69%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
34%
Break points saved·Clear edge
55%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.5
14.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Dzumhur D.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Hurkacz H.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Dzumhur D.

Serve advantage — Hurkacz H.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
65
67
Break points saved·Dominant
70
99
Break points won·Dominant
75
16
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
92
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
82
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
75

Hurkacz H.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 79%

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2017-02-03Davis Cup G1 R1: POL vs BIHRRhardDamir Dzumhur7-6 7-5 7-5

Draw