Matteo Covato vs Fausto TabaccoComo Qualifying Round of 32

Como · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 32
#742ATP
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 30 August 2026 ·
clay
Center Court · 2nd on
#557ATP
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLWL
Covato M.
5-7 6-3 3-6
Tabacco F.
Covato M.
5631
Tabacco F.
7362

Fausto Tabacco defeated Matteo Covato 7-5, 3-6, 6-3 in the qualifying second round of the Como clay court tournament. Tabacco converted 45% of his break points and won five service breaks to Covato's four. Tabacco and Covato were even in aces with one each, but Tabacco committed more double faults, 10 to 4.

Key context

  • Match story: Fausto Tabacco closed it out in three sets, 7–5 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
42%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Clear edge
30%
48%
Break points saved·Even
56%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.8
2.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Covato M.34%
Tabacco F.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Tabacco F. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.32 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.14 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
29°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 44%

Draw