Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael CollignonUS Open Round of 128

US Open · ATP · Round of 128
#760ATP
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLLWWLLW
Sets
Sunday, 30 August 2026 ·
hard
#38ATP
1894ELO
1837Hard ELO
$642kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLWWWWL
Gorzny S.
vs
Collignon R.

Sebastian Gorzny faces Raphael Collignon in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Raphael Collignon holds the paper edge — ranked #38, defending last year's round of 32.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Gorzny S.7%
Collignon R.93%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Collignon R. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.65 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.44 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

40 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
64%
1st serve points won·
78%
2nd serve points won·
49%
Service points won·
68%
Return points won·
36%
Break points saved·
61%
Aces / match·
7.2
Double faults / match·
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
73
83

Gorzny S.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 82 games (7d) · Collignon R.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 35 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 79%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw