Francisco Comesana vs Flavio Cobolli — US Open Round of 128
ITA5
Comesana F.
Francisco Comesana faces Flavio Cobolli in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Flavio Cobolli holds the paper edge — ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Cobolli F. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Francisco Comesana 60 games in 14 days, Flavio Cobolli 138.
- Under pressure: Flavio Cobolli has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 75 vs Francisco Comesana's 6).
- Surface form: Francisco Comesana 1 of 4, Flavio Cobolli 3 of 4 on hard recently — Flavio Cobolli the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadComesana F.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · Cobolli F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Monte Carlo Masters | R64 | clay | Flavio Cobolli | 7-5 2-6 6-3 |