Maja Chwalinska vs Taylor Townsend — US Open Round of 128
POL20
Chwalinska M.
Maja Chwalinska faces Taylor Townsend in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Taylor Townsend brings the better recent hard form (2 of 4).
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Maja Chwalinska 62 games in 14 days, Taylor Townsend 19.
- Serve & return: Taylor Townsend brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 59), Maja Chwalinska the stronger return game (Return Rating 93).
- Surface form: Maja Chwalinska 1 of 4, Taylor Townsend 2 of 4 on hard recently — Taylor Townsend the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (43 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadChwalinska M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d) · Townsend T.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.