Filip Misolic vs Francisco CerundoloUS Open Round of 128

US Open · ATP · Round of 128
#530ATP
1587ELO
1469Hard ELO
$111kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLWLLLLL
Sets
Sunday, 30 August 2026 ·
hard
#25ATP
1931ELO
1880Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLWLWWW
Misolic F.
vs
Cerundolo F.

Filip Misolic faces Francisco Cerundolo in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Francisco Cerundolo holds the paper edge — ranked #25, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 64.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Misolic F.15%
Cerundolo F.85%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Cerundolo F. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
1 common opponents · Misolic F. 0–1 · Cerundolo F. 0–1 · small sample
Both lost · hard to compare — different surfaces (Hard × Clay) · 7 months apart
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.0Hard Elo 1469
Surface ELO
10.0+411 Hard Elo edge
0.7Overall Elo 1587
ELO gap
9.3Overall Elo 1931
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
1.11 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.35 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

5 vs 32 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
53%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
41%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
3.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Misolic F.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Cerundolo F.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Misolic F.

Serve advantage — Cerundolo F.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
68
87
Break points saved·Clear edge
75
95
Break points won·Dominant
49
89
Deciding sets·Even
91
87
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
94
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Cerundolo F.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 79%

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR64clayFrancisco Cerundolo6-2 7-6 6-0
2022-10-24ViennaR32hardFrancisco Cerundolo6-3 6-3

Draw