Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Karen Khachanov — US Open Round of 128
Burruchaga R.
Roman Andres Burruchaga faces Karen Khachanov in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Karen Khachanov holds the paper edge — ranked #49, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Khachanov K. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Karen Khachanov grades 56 on serve, Roman Andres Burruchaga 95 on return.
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Roman Andres Burruchaga 16 games in 14 days, Karen Khachanov 34.
- Head-to-head: Karen Khachanov leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on hard. Last met at Rome Masters 2025.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBurruchaga R.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Khachanov K.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | R64 | clay | Karen Khachanov | 6-4 5-7 6-1 |