Alexander Bublik vs J J Wolf — US Open Round of 128
KAZ15
Bublik A.
Alexander Bublik faces J J Wolf in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Alexander Bublik is the paper favourite — ranked #16, defending last year's round of 16 — but J J Wolf has won 2 of their 3 previous meetings.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Bublik A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Alexander Bublik has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 81 vs 59).
- Head-to-head: J J Wolf leads the head-to-head 2–1, 0–2 on hard. Last met at Wimbledon 2023.
- Stage: Alexander Bublik defends last year's round of 16.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–2| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-07-03 | Wimbledon | R64 | grass | Alexander Bublik | 6-3 7-6 6-0 |
| 2023-03-20 | Miami Masters | R128 | hard | J J Wolf | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2022-10-10 | Florence | QF | hard | J J Wolf | 3-6 7-5 6-1 |