Elsa Jacquemot vs Marie Bouzkova — US Open Round of 128
CZE25
Jacquemot E.
Elsa Jacquemot faces Marie Bouzkova in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Marie Bouzkova holds the paper edge — ranked #26, defending last year's round of 128, a roughly 220-point hard Elo advantage. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Bouzkova M. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Elsa Jacquemot comes in with 7 days of rest and 18 games in 14d, vs Marie Bouzkova's 10 and 61.
- Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 1–1. Last met at Miami 2026.
- Stage: Elsa Jacquemot defends last year's round of 64; Marie Bouzkova defends last year's round of 128.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadJacquemot E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Bouzkova M.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | Miami | R64 | hard | Marie Bouzkova | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2025-08-25 | US Open | R128 | hard | Elsa Jacquemot | 6-4 6-3 |