Carol Young Suh Lee vs Katie Boulter — US Open Round of 128
Carol Young Suh Lee faces Katie Boulter in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Katie Boulter is the paper favourite — ranked #60, defending last year's round of 128, a roughly 250-point hard Elo advantage — but Carol Young Suh Lee arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 4 on hard to Katie Boulter's 1.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Boulter K. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Carol Young Suh Lee comes in with 17 days of rest and 0 games in 14d, vs Katie Boulter's 14 and 18.
- Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Carol Young Suh Lee rising, Katie Boulter cooling.
- Surface form: Carol Young Suh Lee 3 of 4, Katie Boulter 1 of 4 on hard recently — Carol Young Suh Lee the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadYoung Suh Lee C.: 17 days rest · Boulter K.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.