Lucie Havlickova vs Anna BondarUS Open Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Round of 128
#225WTA
1543ELO
1544Hard ELO
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWWLWLL
Sets
Sunday, 30 August 2026 ·
hard
#70WTA
1735ELO
1654Hard ELO
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLLWLWWW
Havlickova L.
vs
Bondar A.

Lucie Havlickova faces Anna Bondar in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Anna Bondar is the paper favourite — ranked #70, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64 — but Lucie Havlickova arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 6 on hard to Anna Bondar's 3.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Havlickova L.41%
Bondar A.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Bondar A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
1 common opponents · Havlickova L. 1–0 · Bondar A. 1–1 · small sample
Havlickova L. better · different surfaces (Hard × Clay) · ⚠ lower-tier event
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1544
Surface ELO
6.4+110 Hard Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1543
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 1734
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.95 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.34 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

27 vs 40 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
41%
Break points saved·Even
59%
61%
Aces / match·Even
3.5
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.7
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Havlickova L.serving77% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Bondar A.

Bondar A.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Havlickova L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
70
78

Havlickova L.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 65 games (7d) · Bondar A.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 63 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 79%

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-09-09W60 MontreuxSFclayAnna Bondar6-2 6-4

Draw