Alexander Blockx vs Tomas Barrios Vera — US Open Round of 128
BEL28
Blockx A.
Alexander Blockx faces Tomas Barrios Vera in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Alexander Blockx is the paper favourite — ranked #32, a roughly 240-point hard Elo advantage — but Tomas Barrios Vera arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 4 on hard to Alexander Blockx's 1.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Blockx A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Alexander Blockx comes in with 12 days of rest and 53 games in 14d, vs Tomas Barrios Vera's 2 and 82.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Alexander Blockx has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 71 vs 17).
- Surface form: Alexander Blockx 1 of 4, Tomas Barrios Vera 3 of 4 on hard recently — Tomas Barrios Vera the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBlockx A.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Barrios Vera T.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.