Anna Blinkova vs Anna KalinskayaUS Open Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Round of 128
#94WTA
1694ELO
1654Hard ELO
27 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWLWLLL
Sets
Sunday, 30 August 2026 ·
hard
#22WTA
1907ELO
1863Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$7.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLWWLWW
Blinkova A.
vs
Kalinskaya A.

Anna Blinkova faces Anna Kalinskaya in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Anna Kalinskaya holds the paper edge — ranked #22, defending last year's round of 32, a roughly 210-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Blinkova A.23%
Kalinskaya A.77%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kalinskaya A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
7 common opponents · Blinkova A. 2–5 · Kalinskaya A. 3–6
Both lost · different surfaces (Hard × Clay)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.4Hard Elo 1654
Surface ELO
7.6+209 Hard Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 1907
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.85 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.95 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

37 vs 31 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
47%
Service points won·Even
53%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
53%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.2
2.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.7
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Blinkova A.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Kalinskaya A.

Kalinskaya A.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Blinkova A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
35
75
Break points saved·Dominant
11
38
Break points won·Slight edge
87
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
30
92
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
90
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
91
95

Blinkova A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Kalinskaya A.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 79%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw