Andrey Chepelev vs Henry BernetM25 Lausanne Final

M25 Lausanne · ITF · Final
#383ATP
28 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 30 August 2026 ·
clay
#428ATP
1372ELO
1353Clay ELO
19 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWLW
Chepelev A.
4-6 2-6
Bernet H.
Chepelev A.
420
Bernet H.
662

Henry Bernet won the M25 Lausanne final, defeating Andrey Chepelev 6-4, 6-2. Bernet hit two aces and five double faults, while converting 43% of break points and securing three service breaks. Chepelev hit one ace and did not commit a double fault, but was unable to convert any break points and did not secure a service break.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-17M25 Muttenz 1R16clayAndrey Chepelev6-4 3-6 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
43%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.5
4.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Chepelev A.51%
Bernet H.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
2.12 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.56 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
75
66

Chepelev A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d) · Bernet H.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 51%

Draw