Yulia Putintseva vs Belinda BencicUS Open Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Round of 128
#80WTA
1805ELO
1758Hard ELO
31 yrs · 163 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLLWLWWL
Sets
Sunday, 30 August 2026 ·
hard
#12WTA
1989ELO
1952Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$17MCAREER
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWLWWWW
Putintseva Y.
vs
Bencic B.

Yulia Putintseva faces Belinda Bencic in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Belinda Bencic holds the paper edge — ranked #12, leading the head-to-head 4–2, defending last year's round of 64.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Putintseva Y.18%
Bencic B.82%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Bencic B. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
6 common opponents · Putintseva Y. 3–3 · Bencic B. 4–3
Both lost · different surfaces (Clay × Hard)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.6Hard Elo 1758
Surface ELO
7.4+194 Hard Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1805
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1989
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
3.84 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.37 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

39 vs 32 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
61%
Return points won·Even
46%
47%
Break points saved·Even
56%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.2
1.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Putintseva Y.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Bencic B.

Bencic B.serving75% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Putintseva Y.

Serve advantage — Bencic B.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
46
90
Break points saved·Dominant
29
84
Break points won·Even
95
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
61
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
31
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
87
99

Putintseva Y.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Bencic B.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 79%

Head to head

24
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-01-02United CupRRhardBelinda Bencic7-6 6-3
2022-12-29United CupRRhardBelinda Bencic7-6(0) 6-3
2020-02-24DohaR16hardBelinda Bencic6-4 6-3
2019-03-18MiamiR64hardYulia Putintseva6-3 7-5
2019-01-14Australian OpenR64hardBelinda Bencic7-5 4-6 6-2
2017-01-09SydneyR32hardYulia Putintseva6-4 2-3

Draw