Mattia Bellucci vs Zsombor Piros — US Open Round of 128
HUNQ
Bellucci M.
Mattia Bellucci faces Zsombor Piros in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Mattia Bellucci is the paper favourite — ranked #96, defending last year's round of 64, a roughly 50-point hard Elo advantage — but Zsombor Piros rides a 3-match win streak.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Mattia Bellucci comes in with 4 days of rest and 89 games in 14d, vs Zsombor Piros's 1 and 71.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Mattia Bellucci has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 39 vs 5).
- Last match: Zsombor Piros advanced when C. O'Connell retired.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBellucci M.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d) · Piros Z.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.