Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni vs Adrien BurdetPorto Qualifying Round of 32

Porto · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 32
#450ATP
1324ELO
1230Clay ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 30 August 2026 ·
clay
Central · 4th on
#1482ATP
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWLW
Alafia Damina Ayeni O.
6-1 6-3
Burdet A.
Alafia Damina Ayeni O.
662
Burdet A.
130

Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni defeated Adrien Burdet 6-1, 6-3 in the qualifying round 32 of the Porto clay court tournament. Ayeni hit 2 aces and 3 double faults, while converting 62% of break points and securing 5 service breaks. Burdet hit 0 aces and 6 double faults, converting 50% of break points and securing 1 service break.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
39%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
54%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Even
62%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.9
1.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
6.4
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Alafia Damina Ayeni O.61%
Burdet A.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Alafia Damina Ayeni O. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.54 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Hard → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
65
92

Alafia Damina Ayeni O.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 60 games (7d) · Burdet A.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw