Mirra Andreeva vs Janice TjenUS Open Round of 128

US Open · WTA · Round of 128
#5WTA
2074ELO
1994Hard ELO
$5.6MYTD
$13MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWLWLWW
Sets
Sunday, 30 August 2026 ·
hard
#35WTA
1658ELO
1684Hard ELO
$818kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLLWLWL
Andreeva M.
vs
Tjen J.

Mirra Andreeva faces Janice Tjen in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Mirra Andreeva holds the paper edge — ranked #5, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Andreeva M.90%
Tjen J.10%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Andreeva M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
10 common opponents · Andreeva M. 8–3 · Tjen J. 6–6
Andreeva M. better · different surfaces (Clay × Hard)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.9+309 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.1Hard Elo 1684
10.0Overall Elo 2074
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1658
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
7.38 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.33 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

46 vs 27 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
47%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
51%
Aces / match·Even
3.2
3.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.7
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (46 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Andreeva M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Tjen J.

Tjen J.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Andreeva M.

Serve advantage — Andreeva M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
93
78
Break points saved·Even
83
84
Break points won·Clear edge
100
85
Deciding sets·Clear edge
93
75
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
92
73

Andreeva M.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Tjen J.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 79%

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-08-18CincinnatiR32hardMirra Andreeva1-6 6-7(5)

Draw