Felix Auger Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata — US Open Round of 128
Auger Aliassime F.
Felix Auger Aliassime faces Rinky Hijikata in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Felix Auger Aliassime holds the paper edge — ranked #4, defending last year's semi-final, a roughly 240-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Auger Aliassime F. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Felix Auger Aliassime comes in with 9 days of rest and 59 games in 14d, vs Rinky Hijikata's 3 and 109.
- Serve & return: Felix Auger Aliassime brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 77), Rinky Hijikata the stronger return game (Return Rating 41).
- Stage: Felix Auger Aliassime defends last year's semi-final; Rinky Hijikata defends last year's round of 128.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (43 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadAuger Aliassime F.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Hijikata R.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 72 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.