Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marton Fucsovics — US Open Round of 128
Merida Aguilar D.
Daniel Merida Aguilar faces Marton Fucsovics in the US Open round of 128 on hard. Marton Fucsovics holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 128, a roughly 40-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Merida Aguilar D. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Daniel Merida Aguilar comes in with 11 days of rest and 36 games in 14d, vs Marton Fucsovics's 16 and 0.
- Serve & return: Marton Fucsovics brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 23), Daniel Merida Aguilar the stronger return game (Return Rating 83).
- Head-to-head: Marton Fucsovics leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on hard. Last met at Madrid Masters 2022.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadMerida Aguilar D.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Fucsovics M.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-02 | Madrid Masters | Q1 | clay | Marton Fucsovics | 6-4 6-3 |