Katie Volynets vs Tereza ValentovaPhilly Open - Philadelphia Final

Philly Open - Philadelphia · CHALLENGER · Final
#91WTA
1786ELO
1736Hard ELO
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWLLWWLW
Sets
Saturday, 29 August 2026 ·
hard
#57WTA
1818ELO
1797Hard ELO
$684kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
19 yrs
Last 10
WWWWLWLLWW
Volynets K.
vs
Valentova T.

Katie Volynets faces Tereza Valentova in the Philly Open - Philadelphia final on hard. Tereza Valentova is the paper favourite — ranked #57, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 60-point hard Elo advantage — but Katie Volynets arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 8 on hard to Tereza Valentova's 5.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Volynets K.54%
Valentova T.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
6 common opponents · Volynets K. 3–3 · Valentova T. 1–5
Both lost · different surfaces (Clay × Hard)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1736
Surface ELO
5.8+61 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1786
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1818
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
7.57 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.47 of last 10 on hard
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.8Won 63% in USA (127)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

51 vs 33 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
75%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
42%
Service points won·Even
57%
55%
Return points won·Even
47%
46%
Break points saved·Even
54%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.3
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Volynets K.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Valentova T.

Valentova T.serving45% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Volynets K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
67
68

Volynets K.: played today · 4 matches, 68 games (7d) · Valentova T.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
24°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 45%

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-17MiamiR128hardTereza Valentova6-2 6-4

Draw