Dune Vaissaud vs Mariia TkachevaW15 Hurghada Semi-final

W15 Hurghada · ITF · Semi-final
#546WTA
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 29 August 2026 ·
hard
#721WTA
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLLLW
Vaissaud D.
7-6 3-6 6-1
Tkacheva M.
Vaissaud D.
77362
Tkacheva M.
62611

Dune Vaissaud advanced to the W15 Hurghada semifinals after Mariia Tkacheva retired during their match. At the time of Tkacheva's retirement, Vaissaud led 7-6, 3-6, 5-1. Vaissaud converted 57 percent of her break points and won four service breaks to Tkacheva's three.

Key context

  • Match story: Dune Vaissaud came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 3–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
43%
Service points won·Even
53%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
37%
Break points saved·Even
48%
44%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.1
2.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Vaissaud D.31%
Tkacheva M.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Tkacheva M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.38 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.04 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
35°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 35%

Draw