Filip Pieczonka vs M. Savano — M25 Poznan Semi-final

M25 Poznan · ITF · Semi-final

POL

Filip Pieczonka

#1072ATP

22 yrs · Left-handed

Last 10

WWWLLWWLWL

—

Sets

Saturday, 29 August 2026 · 16:45

clay

USAQ

M. Savano

#1639ATP

18 yrs

Last 10

WWWWWLWWLL

Pieczonka F.

Savano M.

Filip Pieczonka faces M. Savano in the M25 Poznan semi-final on clay. Filip Pieczonka is the paper favourite — ranked #1072 — but M. Savano arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 8 on clay to Filip Pieczonka's 6.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC

Pieczonka F.62%

Savano M.38%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Pieczonka F. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: M. Savano advanced when Niklas Guttau retired.
Surface form: Filip Pieczonka 6 of 8, M. Savano 7 of 8 on clay recently — M. Savano the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Filip Pieczonka carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Pieczonka F.

4.3

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Savano M.

4.4

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

4.95 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

0.0Lost last 2

Win streak

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

5 vs 4 matches

Statistics

This season

Pieczonka F.Savano M.

1st serve in·Even

54%

56%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

68%

61%

2nd serve points won·Even

46%

49%

Service points won·Even

58%

56%

Return points won·Even

39%

38%

Break points saved·Clear edge

65%

42%

Aces / match·Clear edge

4.4

2.5

Double faults / match·Dominant

7.6

5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Pieczonka F.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Savano M.

Savano M.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Pieczonka F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

23°CPartly cloudy

Wind 13 km/hHumidity 46%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.