J. Vrba vs Oliver OkonkwoM15 Champaign Semi-final

M15 Champaign · ITF · Semi-final
CZE
J. Vrba
#1463ATP
21 yrs
Last 10
WWWWWLWLWL
Sets
Saturday, 29 August 2026 ·
hard
#975ATP
26 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
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Vrba J.
vs
Okonkwo O.

J. Vrba faces Oliver Okonkwo in the M15 Champaign semi-final on hard. Oliver Okonkwo is the paper favourite — ranked #975 — but J. Vrba arrives in form, winning all 5 of their last hard matches to Oliver Okonkwo's 3.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Vrba J.51%
Okonkwo O.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Last match: J. Vrba recovered from a 0–6 opening set to beat Ofek Shimanov.
  • Surface form: J. Vrba 5 of 5, Oliver Okonkwo 3 of 5 on hard recently — J. Vrba the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: J. Vrba carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Vrba J.
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
2.32 of last 8 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
4.9Won 49% in USA (53)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

4 vs 1 matches

Statistics

This season
Vrba J.Okonkwo O.
1st serve in·Clear edge
55%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
66%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
44%
65%
Service points won·Clear edge
54%
66%
Return points won·Clear edge
38%
21%
Break points saved·Even
70%
71%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.3
9.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Vrba J.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Okonkwo O.

Okonkwo O.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Vrba J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
27°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 49%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw