Bryce Nakashima vs Preston Stearns — M15 Champaign Semi-final
M15 Champaign · ITF · Semi-final
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Sets
Saturday, 29 August 2026 ·
hard
Nakashima B.vs
Stearns P.
Bryce Nakashima faces Preston Stearns in the M15 Champaign semi-final on hard. Bryce Nakashima is the paper favourite — ranked #865 — but Preston Stearns arrives in form, winning 9 of their last 10 on hard to Bryce Nakashima's 6.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTCNakashima B.65%
Stearns P.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Nakashima B. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Surface form: Bryce Nakashima 6 of 10, Preston Stearns 9 of 10 on hard recently — Preston Stearns the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
2.21 of last 5 on hard
Surface form4.53 of last 7 on hard
0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.5Won 58% in USA (77)
Country comfort4.8Won 47% in USA (32)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
1 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
64%
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1st serve points won·
69%
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2nd serve points won·
44%
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Service points won·
60%
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Return points won·
30%
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Break points saved·
0%
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Aces / match·
0.0
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Double faults / match·
2.0
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Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Conditions
Weather forecast
27°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 49%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.