Aidan Mayo vs Luis Guto Miguel — Kingston 2 Semi-final

Kingston 2 · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
USALL
Aidan Mayo
#581ATP
1380ELO
1359Hard ELO
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 29 August 2026 ·
hard
Centre Court · 2nd on
BRA
Luis Guto Miguel
#850ATP
1322ELO
1267Hard ELO
17 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLWWWLW
Mayo A.
6-3 6-4
Guto Miguel L.
Mayo A.
662
Guto Miguel L.
340

Aidan Mayo defeated Luis Guto Miguel in the semifinals of the Kingston 2 tournament, winning 6-3, 6-4 on hard courts. Mayo hit 0 aces and 6 double faults, compared to Miguel's 1 ace and 2 double faults. Mayo converted 29% of break points and won 81% of first-serve points en route to two service breaks, securing his spot in the final.

Key context

  • Match story: Aidan Mayo closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Mayo A.Guto Miguel L.
1st serve in·Even
57%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
47%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
2.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.2
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Mayo A.77%
Guto Miguel L.23%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Mayo A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mayo A.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Guto Miguel L.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.1+92 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1267
5.7Overall Elo 1380
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1322
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.66 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.63 of last 5 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Mayo A.Guto Miguel L.
Freshness·Clear edge
47
60

Mayo A.: played today · 6 matches, 139 games (7d) · Guto Miguel L.: played today · 4 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
16°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 83%

Draw