Katarina Kuzmova vs Anne Christine Lutkemeyer ObregonW15 Torello Semi-final

W15 Torello · ITF · Semi-final
#272WTA
1349ELO
1347Hard ELO
25 yrs
Last 10
WWWLLLWWLL
Sets
Saturday, 29 August 2026 ·
hard
#698WTA
22 yrs
Last 10
WWWLWWWLWL
Kuzmova K.
vs
Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon A.

Katarina Kuzmova faces Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon in the W15 Torello semi-final on hard. Katarina Kuzmova is the paper favourite — ranked #272 — but Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on hard to Katarina Kuzmova's 5.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Kuzmova K.78%
Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon A.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kuzmova K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.68 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

45 vs 5 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
43%
Service points won·Even
59%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
51%
Break points saved·Even
57%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.1
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.7
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (45 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kuzmova K.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon A.

wins 52% of points on serve vs Kuzmova K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
22°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 40%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw