Tereza Valentova vs Julia GrabherPhilly Open - Philadelphia Semi-final

Philly Open - Philadelphia · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#57WTA
1818ELO
1797Hard ELO
$684kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 29 August 2026 ·
hard
#114WTA
1613ELO
1486Hard ELO
30 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLWLWWL
Valentova T.
6-3 6-1
Grabher J.
Valentova T.
662
Grabher J.
310

Tereza Valentova defeated Julia Grabher in the semifinals of the Philly Open in Philadelphia. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 6-1 in favor of Valentova. Key stats included Valentova's 82% first-serve win percentage and four service breaks, compared to Grabher's 59% first-serve win percentage and zero breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
42%
Service points won·Even
55%
54%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.7
1.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.0
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Valentova T.74%
Grabher J.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Valentova T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
8.9+310 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.1Hard Elo 1486
7.6Overall Elo 1818
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1613
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.27 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.84 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
68
62

Valentova T.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 67 games (7d) · Grabher J.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 90 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 82%

Draw